Current Market Analysis
The analysis of markets is a critical part of the trading decisions of any trader or investor. The individual trader or trading group may have a preference for: Macroeconomic Analysis, Microeconomics Analysis, Fundamental Analysis, Behavioural Analysis, Quantitative Analysis and Technical Analysis. But whichever approach is employed, it is through this analysis that the trader decides:
- If to buy or sell an asset
- At which levels to enter a trade
- At which level to put the target to hopefully take profit on the trade
- Or, if the analysis proves incorrect, when and where is the trade wrong and at which level to exit the trade.
In this section we provide daily, real time market views including currency pairs forecasts, primarily through the approach of Technical Analysis, but also by utilising other approaches to market analysis. Many of our analyses also contains a video explaining the analyses. Click here for all video analyses and here for all forex news.
Tariff uncertainty keeps markets on edge
Macroeconomic/ geopolitical developments Global financial market developments Key this week Central Bank Watch: The main central bank activity this week is the People’s Bank of China Interest Rate Decision on Monday. Macro Data Watch: The main macro data released this coming week are the Global Flash PMI data on Wednesday. Some other releases of note … Continued
Stocks rebound after Trump blinks, as US Bond market sends red alert!
Macroeconomic/ geopolitical developments Global financial market developments Key this week Central Bank Watch: The main central bank activities this week are the Bank of Canada Interest Rate Decision and Monetary Policy Statement on Wednesday and the same from the European Central Bank on Thursday. Macro Data Watch: The main macro data releases this week are … Continued
Global stocks in freefall after “Liberation Day” tariff fears
Macroeconomic/ geopolitical developments Global financial market developments Key this week Central Bank Watch: The main central bank activity this week is the Federal Open Market Committee Minutes on Wednesday. Macro Data Watch: The main macro data release this week is the US CPI data on Thursday. Some other releases of note are the Chinese CPI … Continued
US Dollar positives emerging
US Dollar Index threatens to break up (DXY forecast) Positive US Dollar-Yen (USDJPY forecast)
Stocks bounce, but uncertainty prevails
Macroeconomic/ geopolitical developments Global financial market developments Key this week Central Bank Watch: There are no significant central bank events this week, only the Bank of Japan Monetary Policy Meeting Minutes on Tuesday. But Fed speakers will need to be monitored as ever. Macro Data Watch: The main macro data release to monitor this week … Continued
Tariff woes continue to weigh on global stock markets
Macroeconomic/ geopolitical developments Global financial market developments Key this week Central Bank Watch: The main central bank events this week are the Federal Reserve Interest Rate Decision and Monetary Policy Statement on Wednesday, plus from the Bank of Japan on Wednesday, from the People’s Bank of China and from the Bank of England on Thursday. … Continued
Geopolitical stresses keep stocks under pressure
Macroeconomic/ geopolitical developments Global financial market developments Key this week Central Bank Watch: The main central bank activity this week is the Bank of Canada Interest Rate Decision and Monetary Policy Statement on Wednesday. Macro Data Watch: The main macro data release this week is the US CPI data on Wednesday. Some other releases of … Continued
Geopolitical tensions send global stocks lower
Macroeconomic/ geopolitical developments Global financial market developments Key this week Central Bank Watch: The main central bank activities this week are the Reverse Bank of Australia Meeting Minutes on Tuesday and the European Central Bank Interest Rate Decision and Monetary Policy Statement on Thursday. Macro Data Watch: The main macro data releases this week are … Continued
US stock indices fall from record levels and Gold hits an all-time-high, amid geopolitical tensions
Macroeconomic/ geopolitical developments Global financial market developments Key this week Central Bank Watch: There is little central bank activity of note, but as ever watching Fed speakers through the week. Macro Data Watch: The main macro data release this week is the US PCE date on Thursday and Friday (notably MoM and YoY on Friday). … Continued
US stocks up, despite higher than expected US CPI
Macroeconomic/ geopolitical developments Global financial market developments Key this week Central Bank Watch: The main central bank activity this week is the Federal Open Market Committee Minutes on Wednesday. Some other activities of note are the Reserve Bank of Australia Interest Rate Decision and Monetary Policy Statement on Tuesday and the People’s Bank of China … Continued
Tariff worries create volatility, US CPI now in the spotlight
Macroeconomic/ geopolitical developments Global financial market developments Key this week Central Bank Watch: Central bank activity is modest this week, with the key focus on Fed Chair Jerome Powell’s testimony before Congress on Tuesday and Wednesday. Macro Data Watch: The main macro data release this week is the US CPI on Wednesday and US PPI … Continued
Stocks recover, after Deepseek driven sell off
Macroeconomic/ geopolitical developments Global financial market developments Key this week Central Bank Watch: The main central bank activity this week is the Bank of England Interest Rate Decision, Monetary Policy Report and Minutes on Thursday. Macro Data Watch: The main macro data releases this week are the Global PMI on Monday and Wednesday and the … Continued
US Dollar bounces
Downtrend ends on US Dollar index (DXY forecast) Euro/ Dollar and Cable have no immediate strong resistance (EURUSD and GBPUSD forecasts)
S&P500 at all-time high, as pro-economy Trump agenda sends global stocks higher
Macroeconomic/ geopolitical developments Global financial market developments Key this week Central Bank Watch: The main central bank activity this week is the Federal Reserve Interest Rate Decision, Monetary Policy Statement and Press Conference on Wednesday. Other releases of note are Bank of Japan Monetary Policy Meeting Minutes on Wednesday, the Bank of Canada Interest Rate … Continued
Stocks up and yields down as US inflation cools
Macroeconomic/ geopolitical developments Global financial market developments Key this week Geopolitical Watch: Monday, January 20, marks the federal holiday honoring Rev. Martin Luther King Jr., with US equity, bond and futures markets closed or having altered hours. Monday also sees the inauguration of President-elect Donald Trump. Central Bank Watch: The main central bank activities this … Continued
Stocks down with US Jobs report, CPI and Earnings this week
Macroeconomic/ geopolitical developments Global financial market developments Key this week Central Bank Watch: Central Bank activities this week are modest, with key focus on speeches from Fed officials. Macro Data Watch: The main macro data release this week is the US Inflation data on Tuesday (PPI) and Wednesday (CPI) . Some other releases of note … Continued
US Dollar stays strong
New highs for the US Dollar Index (DXY forecast) Fresh lows for Cable (GBPUSD forecast)
A big week ahead to start 2025
Macroeconomic/ geopolitical developments Global financial market developments Key this week Central Bank Watch: The main central bank activity this week is the US Federal Open Market Committee Minutes on Wednesday. Geopolitical Watch: US markets will be closed on Thursday in honor of former U.S. President Jimmy Carter. Macro Data Watch: The main macro data release … Continued
Stocks correct lower after more hawkish Fed outlook into 2025
Macroeconomic/ geopolitical developments Global financial market developments Key this week Central Bank Watch: The main central bank activities this week are the Bank of Japan and Reverse Bank of Australia Monetary Policy Meeting Minutes on Tuesday. Macro Data Watch: The main macro data releases this week are the US US Consumer Confidence, plus the UK … Continued
AI driven surge sends Nasdaq to a all-time high, above 20,000
Macroeconomic/ geopolitical developments Global financial market developments Key this week Central Bank Watch: The main central bank activity this week is the Federal Reserve Interest Rate Decision, Monetary Policy Statement; Economic Projection, Press Conference and Interest Rate Projections all on Wednesday. Some other activities of note are the Bank of Japan Interest Rate Decision and … Continued
Equities gain, despite geopolitical tensions in France and South Korea
Macroeconomic/ geopolitical developments Global financial market developments Key this week Central Bank Watch: A busy week for central banks, with the Reverse Bank of Australia Interest Rate Decision and Rate Statement on Tuesday, then the equivalent from the Bank of Canada on Wednesday and from the European Central Bank (ECB) on Thursday. Macro Data Watch: … Continued
US Dollar Levels in Focus
US Dollar Index holds support (DXY forecast) Positive US Dollar-Yen (USDJPY forecast) Aussie approaching major support (AUDUSD forecast)
US Dollar losses – support focus now
US Dollar Index retreats to major support (DXY forecast) US Dollar Yen breaks down (USDJPY forecast)
Stocks averages at record highs ahead of US Jobs data
Macroeconomic/ geopolitical developments Global financial market developments Key this week Central Bank Watch: Central bank activity is very modest this week. Key focus will be on the speeches from the Fed members. Macro Data Watch: The main macro data releases this week are the Global PMI on Monday and Wednesday and the US Employment Data … Continued
Stocks stay bullish into Thanksgiving holiday week
Macroeconomic/ geopolitical developments Global financial market developments Key this week Central Bank Watch: The main central bank activity this week is the US FOMC Minutes on Tuesday. Macro Data Watch: The main macro data release this week is the US PCE on Wednesday. Other releases of note are the US Consumer Confidence on Tuesday, US … Continued
Elections, Inflation, and the Bond Market
The Federal Reserve believes inflation is no longer a concern for consumers and the time has come to ensure the rate of change of prices does not decline any further. To this point, Susan Collins, the Boston Federal Reserve President, said recently that if you take out food, energy, and shelter, inflation is pretty much … Continued
Stocks averages lower after Powell’s rate cut caution
Macroeconomic/ geopolitical developments Global financial market developments Key this week Central Bank Watch: The main central bank activities this week are Reverse Bank of Australia Meeting Minutes on Tuesday and People’s Bank of China Interest Rate Decision on Wednesday. Macro Data Watch: The main macro data released this week are the global Flash PMI on … Continued
US Dollar gains again!
US Dollar Index breaks up (DXY forecast) Euro and Pound breakdown (EURUSD and GBPUSD forecasts) US Dollar-Yen reverses lower (USDJPY forecast)
Stocks, US Dollar and Bitcoin surge on Trump win
Macroeconomic/ geopolitical developments Global financial market developments Key this week Central Bank Watch: There is no central bank activity of note this week, with the focus back on Fed speakers after the recent blackout period before the FOMC Meeting last week, with the standout on Thursday as Powell speaks. Macro Data Watch: The main focus … Continued
Forex markets waiting for the US election results
Global currency markets were in consolidation, ahead of:
One big data week passes, but a huge week ahead with the US election on a knife edge
Macroeconomic/ geopolitical developments Global financial market developments Key this week Central Bank Watch: The main central bank activities this week is the Federal Reserve Interest Rate Decision and Monetary Policy Statement on Thursday. Some other activities of note are the Reverse Bank of Australia Interest Rate Decision and Monetary Policy Statement on Tuesday, Bank of … Continued
A BIG week coming for markets
Macroeconomic/ geopolitical developments Global financial market developments Key this week Central Bank Watch: The main central bank activity this week is the Bank of Japan Interest Rate Decision and Monetary Policy Statement on Thursday. Macro Data Watch: The main macro data release this week is the US Employment Report on Friday. Some other releases of … Continued
TSMC and Netflix boost Global stock averages
Macroeconomic/ geopolitical developments Global financial market developments Key this week Central Bank Watch: The main central bank activities this week are People’s Bank of China Interest Rate Decision on Monday, and the Bank of Canada Monetary Policy Statement and Interest Rate Decision on Wednesday. Macro Data Watch: The main macro data release this week is … Continued
Stocks push higher, despite warmer US CPI – earnings in focus
Macroeconomic/ geopolitical developments Global financial market developments Key this week Central Bank Watch: The main central bank activities this week are the European Central Bank Monetary Policy Statement and Bank of England Monetary Policy Report Hearing on Thursday. Macro Data Watch: The main macro data releases this week are the Chinese, UK and Japanese CPI, … Continued
US stocks edge higher, despite Middle Eastern tensions
Macroeconomic/ geopolitical developments Global financial market developments Key this week Central Bank Watch: The main central bank activity this week is the Federal Open Market Committee Minutes on Wednesday. Macro Data Watch: The main macro data release this week is the US CPI data on Thursday. Some other releases of note are the German CPI, … Continued
Global stocks gain on China stimulus and cooling US inflation
Macroeconomic/ geopolitical developments Global financial market developments Key this week Central Bank Watch: Central bank activity is modest this week, but with Fd speakers still in the spotlight, notably Powell on Monday. Macro Data Watch: The main macro data releases this week are the global PMI which are released Tuesday and Thursday, and of course … Continued
Stocks extend as Fed goes big
Macroeconomic/ geopolitical developments Global financial market developments Key this week Central Bank Watch: The main central bank activities this week are the Reserve Bank Australia Interest Rate Decision and Rate Statement on Tuesday and the same from the Swiss National Bank (SNB) on Thursday, along with the Bank of Japan Monetary Policy Meeting Minutes and … Continued
Fed Performs CPR on a Cadaver
The FOMC meeting and press conference for September was projected to be a dovish one. Fed Chair Powell was expected to cut rates by 50 bps. The preponderance of Wall Street lackeys were busy begging for a series of immediate and deep reductions in borrowing costs. Some in D.C., like Senator Elizabeth Warren, were obsequiously … Continued
Stocks surge and yields plunge ahead of Fed rate cut anticipation
Macroeconomic/ geopolitical developments Global financial market developments Key this week Central Bank Watch: The main central bank activity this week is the Federal Reserve Interest Rate Decision and Monetary Policy Statement on Wednesday and the Bank of England Interest Rate Decision and Monetary Policy Report on Thursday. Some other activities of note are the Bank … Continued
Mixed Signals from the US Dollar
Positive US Dollar Index (DXY forecast) US Dollar-Yen attacks major support (USDJPY forecast)
Stocks and yields plunge, with hard landing fears
Macroeconomic/ geopolitical developments Global financial market developments Key this week Central Bank Watch: The main central bank activities this week is the European Central Bank Monetary Policy decision, statement and press conference on Thursday. Macro Data Watch: The main macro data release this week is the US CPI data on Wednesday. Some other releases of … Continued
US$ downtrend questioned
US Dollar Index downtrend ends, for now Aussie, Kiwi and CAD underperform
Stocks rebound after Nvidia setback
Macroeconomic/ geopolitical developments Global financial market developments Key this week Central Bank Watch: The main Central Bank activity this week is the Bank of Canada Interest Rate Decision and Monetary Policy Statement on Wednesday. Macro Data Watch: The main macro data release this week is the US Job data on Friday. Some other releases of … Continued
Stocks rally and bond yields fall as Fed seen to shift more dovish; Nvidia and US PCE in focus
Macroeconomic/ geopolitical developments Global financial market developments Key this week Central Bank Watch: No significant central bank activity this week, but Fed speakers will be key as always. Macro Data Watch: The main macro data release this week is the US PCE data on Thursday and Friday, with Friday’s data key. Some other releases of … Continued
US and global stocks rebound further, as US inflation cools
Macroeconomic/ geopolitical developments Global financial market developments Key this week Central Bank Watch: The main focus will be on FOMC Minutes on Wednesday and Jackson Hole Symposium from Thursday. Other central bank activities this week are the People’s Bank of China Interest Rate decision on Tuesday and the Reserve Bank of Australia Meeting Minutes also … Continued
US hard landing fears send stocks lower, despite Fed signalling a September rate cut
Macroeconomic/ geopolitical developments Global financial market developments Key this week Central Bank Watch: A light week for central banks, we get the Bank of Japan Monetary Policy Meeting Minutes on Monday and the Reserve Bank of Australia Interest Rate Decision and Monetary Policy Statement on Tuesday. Macro Data Watch: A quiet week for macroeconomic data, … Continued
Stock rotation continues ahead of a BIG week for markets
Macroeconomic/ geopolitical developments Global financial market developments Key this week Central Bank Watch: The main central bank activities this week are the Bank of Japan Interest Rate Decision and Monetary Policy Statement on Tuesday, Federal Reserve Interest Rate Decision and Monetary Policy Statement on Wednesday and the Bank of England Interest Rate Decision, Monetary Policy … Continued
Stock rotation continues out of large cap/ growth into mid/small cap/ value
Macroeconomic/ geopolitical developments Global financial market developments Key this week Central Bank Watch: The main central bank activities this week are the The People’s Bank of China Interest Rate Decision on Monday and the Bank of Canada Interest Rate Decision and Monetary Policy Statement on Wednesday. Macro Data Watch: The key macro data releases this … Continued
Stocks up again with rotation dominant, as US CPI cools
Macroeconomic/ geopolitical developments Global financial market developments Key this week Central Bank Watch: Central bank focus will be on the ECB Interest Rate Decision and Monetary Policy Statement on Thursday. Macro Data Watch: The main macro data releases this week are inflation data from the UK, EU, Canada and Japan, Retail Sales from China, Germany … Continued
Asset Bubbles Beware
Global debt has soared to a record $307 trillion, rising by a staggering $100 trillion over the past decade, and now represents 340% of world GDP. This is why there is no easy escape from the upcoming recession. The salve to bring economies back after a drop in asset prices and contraction in growth has … Continued
US and global stock indices at record highs, as US economy cools
Macroeconomic/ geopolitical developments Global financial market developments Key this week Central Bank Watch: Fed Chair Powell testifies to Congress on Tuesday. The only other central bank activity of note is the Reserve Bank of New Zealand Interest Rate Decision and Monetary Policy Statement on Wednesday. Macro Data Watch: The main macro data release this week … Continued
SNB cuts rates, BoE holds, US stock averages eke out weekly gains, despite Nvidia setback
Macroeconomic/ geopolitical developments Global financial market developments Key this week Central Bank Watch: Central bank activity is light this week with the focus on Fed speakers. Macro Data Watch: The main macro data releases this week are the global CPI data throughout the week. But the main focal points for the week will be the … Continued
US indices rally to records again but European averages suffer from political woes
Macroeconomic/ geopolitical developments Global financial market developments Key this week Central Bank Watch: Central bank focus will be on the RBA Interest Rate Decision on Tuesday, BoJ Monetary Policy Meeting Minutes Wednesday and PBoC and SNB Interest Rate Decisions on Thursday. But the main spotlight is on the BoE Interest Rate Decision and Monetary Policy … Continued
US stocks averages hit record levels, ECB and BoC cut, US CPI and Fed now in focus
Macroeconomic/ geopolitical developments Global financial market developments Key this week Central Bank Watch: The main central bank activities this week is the FOMC Interest Rate Decision and Policy Statement on Wednesday. One other release of note is the Bank of Japan Interest Rate Decision and Policy Statement on Friday. Macro Data Watch: The main macro … Continued
Stocks dip with “higher for longer fears”, with PMI and US jobs data now in focus
Macroeconomic/ geopolitical developments Global financial market developments Key this week Central Bank Watch: The main central bank activities this week are the Bank of Canada Interest Rate Decision and Policy Statement on Wednesday and the EU Monetary Policy Statement on Thursday. Macro Data Watch: The main macro data released this upcoming week are the global … Continued
Economy Slowing Slipping into Recession, But Not There Yet
The recent spate of economic data continues to point to a weakening economy, but one that is not yet precipitously falling into recession. The Philly Fed Index was released late last week. The diffusion index for current general activity declined 11 points to 4.5 in May. The index for new orders declined from 12.2 to … Continued
Nvidia Surges, but Fed Minutes Signal Hawkish Bias
Macroeconomic/ geopolitical developments Global financial market developments Key this week Central Bank Watch: Central bank activity is light this week but watching Fed speakers in the last week before the FOMC External Communications Blackout Period from 1st June. Macro Data Watch: The main macro data releases this week are the German CPI data on Wednesday, … Continued
US and global stick averages hit record levels after dolling US CPI
Macroeconomic/ geopolitical developments Global financial market developments Key this week Central Bank Watch: Central bank focus will be on the PBoC interest rate decision Monday, the RBA Meeting Minutes Tuesday and the RBNZ interest rate decision Tuesday. But the main spotlight will be on the FOMC Meeting Minutes Wednesday, as well as Fed speakers through … Continued
Global stock averages move higher ahead off key US CPI release
Macroeconomic/ geopolitical developments Global financial market developments Key this week Central Bank Watch: Central bank activity is modest this week. The key focus will be the Fed speakers after the release of the US CPI data on Wednesday. Macro Data Watch: The main macro data release this week is the US CPI data on Wednesday. … Continued
Global stock averages retreat with higher oil price and Fed rate cut worries
Macroeconomic/ geopolitical developments Global financial market developments Key this week Central Bank Watch: The most important central bank activities this week are the FOMC Minutes on Wednesday ECB Monetary Policy Decision and Statement on Thursday. We will also observe the RBNZ and BoC Interest Rate Decisions and Statements Wednesday. Macro Data Watch: Global CPI data … Continued
Stocks Stay Strong Ahead of PMI and US NFP Reports
Macroeconomic/ geopolitical developments Global financial market developments Key this week Central Bank Watch: No Central Bank activity of note, but we are watching for further indications for the path of future US interest rates from FOMC speakers. Macro Data Watch: Global PMI data is released through the week, with the US ISM PMI data of … Continued
Global Stocks Stay in Bull Mode as Global Central Banks Gear Up for Rate Cuts
Macroeconomic/ geopolitical developments Global financial market developments Key this week Central Bank Watch: No Central Bank activity of note, but we do get the Bank of Japan Monetary Policy meeting minutes on Monday. This should give further insight after last week’s interest rate hike. Plus, after last week’s Fed meeting we are watching for further … Continued
Warmer US Inflation Data Puts Focus on the Fed’s Dot Plot Chart This Week
Macroeconomic/ geopolitical developments Global financial market developments Key this week Central Bank Watch: A busy week for Central Banks highlighted by interest rate decisions from the BoJ and RBA Tuesday, the PBoC and FOMC Wednesday and the BoE Thursday. Macro Data Watch: Lots of data to be released this week with the focus being global … Continued
US Industrial Production and Michigan Consumer Sentiment Expectations – 15th March
What to expect from US Industrial Production data Scheduled for release at 14:15 GMT on Friday, March 15, the US Industrial Production data for February is highly anticipated by economists, policymakers, and investors. This report provides crucial insights into the performance and trends within the manufacturing, mining, and utility sectors, offering valuable indications of economic … Continued