Current Market Analysis

The analysis of markets is a critical part of the trading decisions of any trader or investor. The individual trader or trading group may have a preference for: Macroeconomic Analysis, Microeconomics Analysis, Fundamental Analysis, Behavioural Analysis, Quantitative Analysis and Technical Analysis. But whichever approach is employed, it is through this analysis that the trader decides:

  • If to buy or sell an asset
  • At which levels to enter a trade
  • At which level to put the target to hopefully take profit on the trade
  • Or, if the analysis proves incorrect, when and where is the trade wrong and at which level to exit the trade.

In this section we provide daily, real time market views including currency pairs forecasts, primarily through the approach of Technical Analysis, but also by utilising other approaches to market analysis. Many of our analyses also contains a video explaining the analyses. Click here for all video analyses and here for all forex news.


The Fed and ECB decisions drive USD and EUR volatility

After the Reserve Bank of Australia hiked unexpectedly on Tuesday, the Federal Reserve and the European Central Bank (ECB) made it a hat-trick of 25 basis points of rate hikes in the past 24 hours. Whilst the caution and pausing signals from the Fed were broadly anticipated, the admission of the negative impact of monetary … Continued

What is Really Bugging the Banks

At his May FOMC press conference, Mr. Powell tried his hand at stand-up comedy by saying “banking conditions have broadly improved since March.” Could it really be possible that he can be so blind to what is actually happening within the banking system? A banking system can only function properly when certain parameters are in … Continued

Beginner

Top Financial – don’t be silly, of course it’s not worth $3 billion

Top Financial (NASDAQ: TOP) might well be the silliest of the recent market manias. There’s really nothing there to make it of interest. Well, nothing as interesting as people seem to think. No, that’s just absurd, and here’s the intraday: No, really, it’s absurd. So what does Top Financial actually do? Now it is possible … Continued

Intermediate

The warning signs flash for the March/April equities rally

Equity markets had a strong run higher in March and April. However, moving into May the rallies are looking tired. Macro factors are starting to weigh on sentiment ahead of crucial monetary policy announcements from the Federal Reserve and the European Central Bank. Sentiment is threatening to sour and this could mean a period of … Continued

Intermediate

Copper supply gap: what will it take for the world to wake up?

Copper demand will skyrocket this decade. Supply is falling, and inventories are at near-record lows. For the long-term investor, it’s merely a waiting game. In early November 2022, I wrote up an article covering the growing consensus surrounding the emerging copper supply gap. Simply put, copper demand is growing exponentially, and supply is drying up. … Continued

Intermediate

WANdisco and Alphawave – What to do when the accounts go wrong

Things do sometimes go wrong, as WANdisco (LON: WAND) and Alphawave (LON: AWE) have just shown – with an able little assist from Altyngold (LON: ALTN). More specifically things sometimes go wrong with the accounting within a company. As is the case with all three of these. However, sometimes – just the sometimes – there’s … Continued

Beginner

Big Tech Leads Stocks Higher, Despite First Republic Bank Induced Wobble

Macroeconomic/ geopolitical developments Global financial market developments Key this week Date Key Macroeconomic Events 01/05/2023 China, UK and Europe markets closed for the May Day holidays; ISM Manufacturing 02/05/2023 RBA monetary policy, Eurozone final Manufacturing PMI, UK final Manufacturing PMI, Eurozone HICP inflation, US JOLTS, US Factory Orders 03/05/2023 ADP Employment Change, ISM Services PMI, … Continued

Intermediate

QE-Light Forestalls Crisis…For Now

First Quarter GDP increased at only a 1.1% seasonally adjusted annual rate. That was down from 2.6% in Q4 of last year, which was down from 3.2% during Q3. Despite the clear slowdown in economic growth, there still exists a battle between Wall Street’s soft-landing narrative, where inflation comes down in the context of robust … Continued

Beginner

FAANG earnings: one lesson from each NASDAQ 100 stock

FAANG stocks are reporting positive earnings so far in Q1 2023. Each holds a useful insight for long-term investing. The FAANG stocks are a long-term investor’s ultimate quandary. All have seen huge growth and market dominance during the decade or so of ultraloose monetary policy; and as interest rates rise and the money supply contracts, … Continued

Intermediate

US tech earnings provide a welcome boost to a sagging rally

Last week, I discussed whether the US growth stocks that had driven the rally on Wall Street could keep up the pace. Despite the big tech stocks doing the heavy lifting, there are increasing signs that the Wall Street rally is sagging. Yesterday’s earnings from the tech giants, Microsoft and Alphabet have provided a welcome … Continued

Intermediate

Timing the opportunity to buy gold could be crucial

A near-term correction is building on gold. Since peaking at $2039 in mid-April, the gold price has been pulled lower. It is currently trading around three-week lows, with cash gold trading decisively back below the psychological $2000 level.   However, this looks to be a near-term move that is likely to be the source of … Continued

Beginner

Global Stocks Hesitant with Earnings Caution, Global Yields Rise

Macroeconomic/ geopolitical developments Global financial market developments Key this week Date Key Macroeconomic Events 24/04/2023 German IFO Survey 25/04/2023 US Consumer Confidence, US New Homes Sales 26/04/2023 Australian CPI, US Durable Goods 27/04/2023 EU Consumer Confidence, US Advance GDP and PCE 28/04/2023 Bank of Japan interest rate decision and statement, German Unemployment, GDP and HICP … Continued

Beginner

Can US growth stocks continue to outstrip value stocks?

Equity markets have fluctuated in recent months, but there is a key theme that has developed. There has been a decisive shift in the outlook for US equities since the turn of the year. US growth stocks have decisively outperformed value stocks. This has become the key story of US equities so far in 2023. … Continued

Intermediate

Atlantic Lithium as an example of mining problems

Atlantic Lithium (LON: ALL) is one of those shares that justify the AIM market in London, or the similar parts of the TSE and Vancouver exchanges. There needs to be somewhere that junior (ie, not yet producing) miners can go get the necessary capital. Someone, somewhere, has to pay for the exploration and proving work … Continued

Beginner

Buying the dip? Blue-chip or small-cap, fear is your very best friend

Warren Buffett once famously advised investors to ‘be fearful when others are greedy and greedy when others are fearful.’ He’s not wrong. I am not going to liken myself to the ‘Sage of Omaha,’ nor in any way believe that I will reach the heights attained by the nonagenarian Chair and CEO of Berkshire Hathaway. … Continued

Intermediate

Kazatomprom: high risk-high-reward uranium play?

The former Soviet state is toeing a delicate line between Russian politics, Chinese protections, and European energy concerns. Uranium is in many ways like lithium. It’s non-fungible, very reactive, and for many years was unprofitable to mine out of the ground. But with nuclear power becoming much more acceptable as a ‘green energy’ source, and … Continued

Intermediate

Markets Consolidate into Easter, Ahead of US CPI, Fed Minutes

Macroeconomic/ geopolitical developments Global financial market developments Key this week Date Key Macroeconomic Events 10/04/23 Easter Monday holiday, UK and European markets are closed; Fed’s Williams speaks 11/04/23 China CPI; EU Retail Sales; Fed’s Harker speaks 12/04/23 Fed’s Kashkari speaks; US CPI; BoC interest rate decision and statement; FOMC Minutes released 13/04/23 Australian Employment report; … Continued

Beginner

Global Stocks Rally As No News = Good News

Macroeconomic/ geopolitical developments Global financial market developments Key this week Date Key Macroeconomic Events 03/04/23 S&P Global Manufacturing PMI (global): US ISM PMI; Fed Governor Cook speaks 04/04/23 RBA interest rate decision and statement; Fed Governor Cook speaks 05/04/23 S&P Global Services PMI (global): US ISM PMI; US ADP Employment change 06/04/23 Canada Employment report … Continued

Intermediate

Mining Sector Consolidation: 4 factors to understand before you invest

Inflation, Sino-Western tensions, falling ore quality and excess plant capacity are all creating a flourishing mergers and acquisitions environment. As an investor in multiple LSE-listed mining small caps, and an analyst of the larger titans, I have a fairly wide view of the mining industry. And the key thing I keep coming back to is … Continued

Beginner

Direxion Daily Semiconductor Bull 3x Is For Trading, Not Investing

When trading or investing it helps if we know what we’re doing. That means grasping that certain instruments are designed for specific purposes and not just don’t work well, are positively money losing, when used for some other purpose. So, it is with the Direxion Daily Semiconductor Bull 3x ETF (NYSEARCA: SOXL). This is for … Continued

Beginner

Lake Resources, Lithium, And Aren’t Americans Odd About Penny Stocks?

Lake Resources (OTCQB: LLKKF) (ASX: LKE) is a perfectly respectable looking junior lithium miner. Junior, here, means “someone not producing yet”. Junior miners is also where all the excitement is in the mining world – who is exploring, who finds what, who gains finance to actually mine and so on. Some such projects have a … Continued

Beginner

Global Stocks Chop as Bank Crisis Fear Pervade

Macroeconomic/ geopolitical developments Global financial market developments Key this week Date Key Macroeconomic Events 27/03/23 Shift to Daylight Saving Time in the UK and EU on 26/03/23; German IFO 28/03/23 Australian Retail Sales 29/03/23 Australian CPI 30/03/23 EU Consumer Confidence; German CPI; US GDP and PCE 31/03/23 Japan CPI; China PMI; UK GDP; German Retail … Continued

Intermediate

Fear Index Special

Shaun Downey, expert technical analyst, looks at what the charts are telling him about the current fears gripping financial markets. Remember Shaun’s great call for Gold back at the end of January. Gold and Silver trends remain bullish!

Intermediate

What Really Went Wrong With The Credit Suisse Takeover By UBS?

UBS (NYSE: UBS) took over Credit Suisse (NYSE: CS) and thereby prevented a bank collapse. More, a bank collapse in one of the world’s top 30 systemically important banks. This stops another Lehman Brothers moment leading to the collapse of the financial system – and yet all other banks equities fell as a result, why? … Continued

Intermediate

Gold, Bitcoin, the US Dollar, and defensive stocks: how do the portfolio hedges interlink?

Explaining the value interplay between Gold, Bitcoin, the US Dollar, and defensive stocks in simple layman’s terms. When monetary policy is loose, interest rates are low, and growth is cheap. In this boom phase of the economic cycle investors often pile their capital into tech stocks, which thrive on the waters of cheap debt. However, … Continued

Beginner

When A 62.5% Share Price Rise Means Nothing – UK Product Group

The shares of UK Product Group (LON: UKR) went up 62.5% on Thursday 17 March. This means absolutely nothing of any importance and is not something we could have made money out of trading. If we’d even tried to trade it, we would have lost money doing so. This is an important lesson about trading … Continued

Intermediate

Stocks Rally, Despite Lower Yield Plunge with Bank Crisis

Macroeconomic/ geopolitical developments Global financial market developments Key this week Date Key Macroeconomic Events 20/03/23 Japan Vernal Equinox Day markets closed; no data of note 21/03/23 RBA Meeting Minutes; German ZEW Survey; Canadian CPI 22/03/23 UK CPI; US FOMC Interest Rate Decision, Projections and Press Conference 23/03/23 SNB and BoE Interest Rate Decisions 24/03/23 UK … Continued

Beginner

The Real Problem With Cazoo And Carvana

There are at least three things that can kill off a business idea and what we’ve got to decide with Carvana (NYSE: CVNA) and Cazoo (NYSE: CZOO) is which one of the three – or indeed some other – is dragging them down. Only once we’ve worked out why it’s not currently working can we … Continued

Intermediate

As Silicon Valley Banks Shows, Stablecoins Aren’t, In Fact, Stable

One of the more surprising outcomes of the Silicon Valley Bank (NASDAQ: SIVB) collapse and bankruptcy is that stablecoins are not, in fact, stable. The reason being that there’s just no good place to put piles of billions of dollars. Nowhere that’s absolutely, 100%, safe that is. There are varying levels of safety, true, but … Continued

Intermediate

Stock Indices Plunge on Hawkish Powell, Bank Worries, Mixed Job Report

Macroeconomic/ geopolitical developments Global financial market developments Key this week Date Key Macroeconomic Events 13/03/23 US switched to Daylight Saving Time on Sunday 12/03 14/03/23 UK Employment report; US CPI   15/03/23 BoJ Monetary Policy Meeting Minutes; China Retails Sales; EU industrial Production; US Retail Sales  16/03/23 Australian Employment report; ECB Monetary Policy Decision, Statement and … Continued

Expert

Botswana Diamonds: is it finally payday after years of waiting?

Botswana Diamonds is processing material at Marsfontein. Quality results could be the catalyst investors have been waiting for. Despite a little volatility, Botswana Diamonds (LON: BOD) shares have essentially been on a road to nowhere for years. Down by 13% over the past five years, BOD has however risen by 25% year-to-date. And after peaking … Continued

Beginner

As Silvergate Capital Teeters on The Edge, How Do We Trade Crypto?

This is not a particular exhortation that we should all go out and trade cryptocurrencies. But it is an observation about the cryptocurrency environment. Prices are changing wildly within crypto – that’s great, we’re traders, we want to be able to be on the right side of changing prices. That’s what trading is – being … Continued

Intermediate

Stock indices dip and then bounce as global yield surge pauses

Macroeconomic/ geopolitical developments Global financial market developments Key this week Date Key Macroeconomic Events 06/03/23 EU Retail Sales 07/03/23 RBA interest rate decision; Jerome Powell testimony to Congress 08/03/23 German Retail Sales; EU Employment and GDP; ADP Employment Change; Jerome Powell testimony to Congress; BoC interest rate decision 09/03/23 Japan GDP; China CPI 10/03/23 BoJ … Continued

Beginner

Trading the S&P 500 on Macroeconomic News, A Good Idea?

We might well want to be able to trade macroeconomic news – so, unemployment, GDP growth, interest rates etc –simply because that’s something that changes market prices. The problem with doing this with any individual stock – say Exxon (NYSE: XOM) is that there can and will be specific issues to do with that corporation … Continued

Beginner

Stock indices plunge, yield rise on hot inflation/ strong growth data

Macroeconomic/ geopolitical developments Global financial market developments Key this week Date Key Macroeconomic Events 27/02/23 US Durable Goods 28/02/23 Australian Retail Sales; Canada GDP; US Consumer Confidence   01/03/23 Australian GDP; global S&P Global Manufacturing PMI; German Unemployment and CPI; US ISM Manufacturing PMI 02/03/23 EU Unemployment and CPI 03/03/23 Global S&P Global Services and … Continued

Intermediate

House price crash: UK government support is not coming

Government policy has always been designed to support the housing market. Until now, that is. After spending most of 2022 warning that a UK house price correction was on the cards — please read here for some light reading  — it appears that institutions are finally on the case. Lloyds, the UK’s largest mortgage lender, … Continued

Intermediate

Beware – Rising Interest Rates Artificially Flatter Bank Profits

We’re just going through the British bank reporting season and everyone’s profits are up. So, therefore British banks must be a good buy, right? Quite possibly, yes, but it’s important to understand that there’s a temporary feature to a part of this profits rise. The interest rate margin only keeps increasing if interest rates keep … Continued

Intermediate

Don’t Believe in Critical Metals Shortages – They Don’t Last

So, this electronic revolution is going to make rare metals soar in price and stay up, right? Those battery metals – cobalt, lithium – and the rare earths for the magnets, they’re stonking to the Moon and no mistake, undoubtedly. Except metals markets don’t in fact work that way. Sure, demand changes, prices change, but … Continued

Intermediate

Stock indices consolidate, global bond yields rise, despite hotter US CPI and hawkish Fed tones

Macroeconomic/ geopolitical developments Global financial market developments Key this week Date Key Macroeconomic Events 20/02/23 US Presidents day holiday, US equity and bond cash markets are closed; PBoC interest rate decision 21/02/23 RBA Meeting Minutes; global S&P Global Flash Purchasing Managers Index (PMI); Canada CPI and Retail Sales 22/02/23 German CPI; German IFO Survey; FOMC … Continued

Intermediate

US Dollar Rallies

US Dollar Index Gains (DXY forecast) EuroYen breaks up (EURJPY forecast) Aussie reaches major downside target (AUDUSD forecast)

Intermediate

Lyft And Uber, They’re Separate Companies Now, Not A Sector

Of course, Lyft (NASDAQ: LYFT) and Uber (NYSE: UBER) has always been separate companies. But for much of their dual existence they’ve just been seen as two aspects of the same economic sector. If ride hailing and ride sharing work, then so will both companies – if they won’t then neither Uber nor Lyft will. … Continued

Beginner

A US Advertising Ban Would Be Boom Times for Sports Betting Stocks

Once again, we’ve a politician not quite understanding what he wants to regulate – in this case it’s US sports betting and the associated stocks. So, the likes of Flutter (LON: FLTR), DraftKings (NASDAQ: DKNG) and MGM Resorts (NYSE: MGM). All have substantial US sports betting businesses. All will benefit – yes, benefit – from … Continued

Intermediate

Stock indices set back on hawkish worries and Google concerns, global bond yields rise

Macroeconomic/ geopolitical developments Global financial market developments Key this week Date Key Macroeconomic Events 13/02/23 Nothing of note 14/02/23 Japan GDP; UK Employment report; EU GDP; US CPI 15/02/23 UK CPI; US Retail Sales 16/02/23 Australian Employment report; US PPI 17/02/23 UK Retail Sales

Beginner

Four Reasons Why the January Rally Will Falter

Inflation is supposedly on its way to falling gently back to 2% like a fluffy snowflake while the US economy roars ahead. Or at least that is what the deep state of Wall Street needs you to think. However, the US economy is in the eye of the hurricane right now; and the other outer … Continued

Intermediate

Commodities analysis 8 February

Gold bearish engulfing candle on the daily chart & then the weekly chart suggested the 3 month rally in Gold just ended. Silver huge bearish engulfing candle on the weekly chart is a sell signal as we take out all the candles for the 7 weeks last week. WTI Crude April unexpectedly recovered all of … Continued

Beginner

Darktrace’s Accounting Doesn’t Actually Matter – Beliefs Do

Darktrace (LON: DARK) found itself the target of a shortselling report from Quintessential Capital Management and the shares dropped 20% and more in a day – to largely regain their losses it is true. The problem here is that whether the allegations about the accounting are true or not doesn’t really matter. Well, of course … Continued

Intermediate

Forex Forecast 6 February

AUDUSD rejected the 100 week & the 500 day moving averages at 7160/80 & collapsed through support at 7060/50 on Friday for a sell signal targeting 6990/80 & 6930/20. A low for the day exactly here in fact. This is key 23.6% Fibonacci & 3 month trend line support at 6930/10. Longs need stops below … Continued

Beginner

Dovish Central Bank Perception Trumps Mega cap Disappointment, Risk On Extends

Macroeconomic/ geopolitical developments Global financial market developments Key this week Date Key Macroeconomic Events 06/02/23 EU Retail Sales 07/02/23 RBA interest rate decision; Fed’s Powell speaks 08/02/23 Nothing of note 09/02/23 German CPI  10/02/23 China CPI, UK GDP, Manufacturing and Industrial Production; Canada Employment report; US Michigan Consumer Sentiment

Intermediate

Genedrive shares: running out of cash, but worth a speculative trade?

Genedrive is financially almost out of runway, but its tech makes it a reasonable buyout target. Genedrive (LON: GDR) is a FTSE AIM company out of which many investors have fallen in love. The molecular diagnostics biotech company spiked multiple times through the pandemic-induced meme hysteria, reaching a record 173p per share in May 2020. … Continued

Intermediate

Stock markets daily forecast

Dax 40 March is forming a sideways consolidation as volatility decreases, which is normal in both a bull & bear trend. We do not know how long this process will take but there is definitely no sell signal at this stage. We held a range of about 250 ticks last week so there are few … Continued

Beginner

Mixed Earnings, But Strong Macro Data Sends Stocks Higher Ahead of MASSIVE week for Markets

Macroeconomic/ geopolitical developments Global financial market developments Key this week Date Key Macroeconomic Events 30/01/23 German GDP; EU Consumer Confidence 31/01/23 China PMI; German Retail Sales; EU GDP; German CPI; US Consumer Confidence 01/02/23 EU CPI; global Manufacturing PMI from S&P Global; US ISM Manufacturing PMI; FOMC interest rate decision  02/02/23 BoE interest rate decision; … Continued

Intermediate

Forex Forecasts 27/1/2023

AUDUSD we will stick with buying at support until it looks like we have a sell signal. Good support at 7065/60 (although we did not reach here yesterday). Longs need stops below 7045. Target is 7115/20 then 7160/65. A break below 7045 however risks a slide to to strong support at 7010/00. Longs need stops … Continued

Intermediate

Harland & Wolff: still a top high-risk, high-reward FTSE AIM play

HARL shares have experienced significant volatility in recent weeks, but a push higher remains on the cards for investors with a healthy risk appetite. Harland & Wolff (LON: HARL) shares are at this point a relatively stressful investment for long term position investors. Not only is the company down by 42% over the past five … Continued

Intermediate

Stock markets to rise or fall in February?

Dax 40 March is forming a sideways consolidation as volatility decreases, which is normal in both a bull & bear trend. We do not know how long this process will take but there is definitely no sell signal at this stage. FTSE 100 March holding a 3 day range from 7710 up to 7780. Remember … Continued

Beginner

When To Use Leveraged ETFs And When Not To

As our example we’re just going to take the Direxion Daily S&P Biotech Bull 3X Shares (NYSEARCA: LABU) as our example. This isn’t the only leveraged ETF out there by a long way it’s just an example. There is the Bear version of the same Direxion ETF (NYSEARCA: LABD) for example, they near always come … Continued

Intermediate

Lithium Stocks – How Do They Actually Work?

Lithium is, of course, the brave new metal of the green energy revolution. We’ve not got any other material to use for automotive batteries, not of any consequence. The assumption is that lithium demand will rise at least 1000% over the next decade or so. The price has already risen at least that in anticipation … Continued

Expert

Daily forecasts: Commodities

Gold longs at my buy level of 1915/10 worked perfectly with a low for the day at 1911 before we shot higher to 1932 for a quick & easy 15 point profit. That’s up to 50 points profit in gold over the last week. Silver moving in the opposite direction as we plunge to 2274 … Continued

Beginner

Yields Fall Again as Global Stocks Dip and Bounce Further Into US Earnings Season

Macroeconomic/ geopolitical developments Global financial market developments Key this week Date Key Macroeconomic Events 23/01/23 BoJ Meeting Minutes; EU Consumer Confidence 24/01/23 Flash PMI global drive from S&P Global  25/01/23 Australian CPI; German IFO; BoC interest rate decision  26/01/23 US GDP, PCE, Durable and Capital Goods Orders 27/01/23 US PCE

Beginner

Growth Or Value? Which Stock Picking Method Actually Works?

One of the little sadness’s of life is that no stock picking method – no investing method – works all the time. If it did then everyone would do it and all the potential profits would be gone. However, what is true is that certain investment picking methods work some of the time. The trick … Continued

Intermediate

Blencowe Resources: my final small-cap graphite stock for 2023

BRES shares are admittedly highly speculative, but a speculative position could prove lucrative for small-cap position investors. Blencowe Resources (LON: BRES) shares constitute my fourth and final small-cap graphite stock to consider for 2023. Like many small caps on the UK’s most volatile index, the sub-£10 million graphite explorer has sent long term investors on … Continued

Beginner

Global Stocks Gain and Yields Fall Through Key CPI as US Earnings Kicks Off

Macroeconomic/ geopolitical developments Global financial market developments Key this week Date Key Macroeconomic Events 16/01/23 US Martin Luther King Holiday, equity and bonds cash markets are closed 17/01/23 China GDP, Industrial Production and Retail Sales, UK Employment report, German CPI, German ZEW Survey, Canada CPI 18/01/23 UK inflation report (CPI); EU CPI; US PPI and … Continued

Intermediate

Commodities analysis

Gold reached the resistance at 1878/88 with a high for the week exactly here. There is no sell signal yet but obviously today’s direction will be driven by the US CPI number, with 6.4% expected. The levels for today are very clear on the 4 hour chart. Silver in a 1 month erratic sideways trend. … Continued

Beginner

Crypto Exchange Solvency – CFD Is a Cure

Say that we want to speculate upon BONK – and speculate it would be of course – then we face something of a problem. For actual crypto exchanges seem to be falling over with depressing regularity. This then means that speculation on DOGE, or Shiba Inu (SHIB) – all things that might be connected – … Continued

Monetary Lags and the Acute Recession of 2023

Fed Chair Jerome Powell remains unimpressed with the reduction of the rate of inflation; down to 7.1% in November, from 9.1% June. The Summary of Economic Projections shows a desire of the Fed to increase their forecast for the Fed Funds Rate to 5% in 2023, up from the 4.6% projection made in the last … Continued

Beginner

How Cynical Is It To Believe In The Santa Rally?

We might think that we have to be not cynical, uncynical, to believe that just as Santa brings presents to all the little kiddies so the Santa Rally also provides an annual profit-making opportunity for us traders. Yet the actual explanation of why there is such a rally is profoundly cynical, it incorporates a possibly … Continued

Intermediate

Critical minerals 2023: demand destruction vs supply gap explained

The 2023 global recession could crash demand in the short term. But the long-term supply gap is the critical factor to consider for position investors. Two conflicting forces are conspiring to create an even more volatile environment for hard commodities in 2023. One is short-term, the other long-term, and analysts are conflicted over how these … Continued

Beginner

Best Stocks & Shares to Buy for January 2023

There can be no denying that 2022 has proven to be a challenging year for all investors. For example, the FTSE All World Index has a 1-Year change of -17.26%. Similarly, the S&P Global 100 has a 1-Year change of -13.45%. (As at 10:30 on Friday, December 16th, 2022). A similar tale of poor performance … Continued

Beginner

Stocks Plunge After Mixed US Data and Still Hawkish Fed and ECB

Macroeconomic/ geopolitical developments Global financial market developments Key this week This will be the last MacroWatch report for 2022. Happy holidays to you all, Merry Christmas and wishing you a great trading and investing year for 2023! Date Key Macroeconomic Events 19/12/22 German IFO Survey 20/12/22 RBA Meeting Minutes, PBoC interest rate decision; BoJ interest … Continued

Beginner

The Russian Oil Price Cap and A Boom in Tanker Stocks

All too often we think of “the shipping industry” without thinking it through properly – it’s actually a series of different industries. Precisely because it is that series different parts of shipping can be at entirely different points in the cycle. For example, Moller Maersk (NASDAQ: MAERSKA)  (LON: 0O77) did very well out of the … Continued