Current Market Analysis

The analysis of markets is a critical part of the trading decisions of any trader or investor. The individual trader or trading group may have a preference for: Macroeconomic Analysis, Microeconomics Analysis, Fundamental Analysis, Behavioural Analysis, Quantitative Analysis and Technical Analysis. But whichever approach is employed, it is through this analysis that the trader decides:

  • If to buy or sell an asset
  • At which levels to enter a trade
  • At which level to put the target to hopefully take profit on the trade
  • Or, if the analysis proves incorrect, when and where is the trade wrong and at which level to exit the trade.

In this section we provide daily, real time market views including currency pairs forecasts, primarily through the approach of Technical Analysis, but also by utilising other approaches to market analysis. Many of our analyses also contains a video explaining the analyses. Click here for all video analyses and here for all forex news.


Intermediate

Equities gain, despite geopolitical tensions in France and South Korea

Macroeconomic/ geopolitical developments Global financial market developments Key this week Central Bank Watch: A busy week for central banks, with the Reverse Bank of Australia Interest Rate Decision and Rate Statement on Tuesday, then the equivalent from the Bank of Canada on Wednesday and from the European Central Bank (ECB) on Thursday. Macro Data Watch: … Continued

Intermediate

US Dollar Levels in Focus

US Dollar Index holds support (DXY forecast) Positive US Dollar-Yen (USDJPY forecast) Aussie approaching major support (AUDUSD forecast)

Intermediate

Stocks averages at record highs ahead of US Jobs data

Macroeconomic/ geopolitical developments Global financial market developments Key this week Central Bank Watch: Central bank activity is very modest this week. Key focus will be on the speeches from the Fed members. Macro Data Watch: The main macro data releases this week are the Global PMI on Monday and Wednesday and the US Employment Data … Continued

Intermediate

Stocks stay bullish into Thanksgiving holiday week

Macroeconomic/ geopolitical developments Global financial market developments Key this week Central Bank Watch: The main central bank activity this week is the US FOMC Minutes on Tuesday. Macro Data Watch: The main macro data release this week is the US PCE on Wednesday. Other releases of note are the US Consumer Confidence on Tuesday, US … Continued

Intermediate

Elections, Inflation, and the Bond Market

The Federal Reserve believes inflation is no longer a concern for consumers and the time has come to ensure the rate of change of prices does not decline any further. To this point, Susan Collins, the Boston Federal Reserve President, said recently that if you take out food, energy, and shelter, inflation is pretty much … Continued

Intermediate

Stocks averages lower after Powell’s rate cut caution

Macroeconomic/ geopolitical developments Global financial market developments Key this week Central Bank Watch: The main central bank activities this week are Reverse Bank of Australia Meeting Minutes on Tuesday and People’s Bank of China Interest Rate Decision on Wednesday. Macro Data Watch: The main macro data released this week are the global Flash PMI on … Continued

Intermediate

US Dollar gains again!

US Dollar Index breaks up (DXY forecast)  Euro and Pound breakdown (EURUSD and GBPUSD forecasts)  US Dollar-Yen reverses lower  (USDJPY forecast) 

Intermediate

Stocks, US Dollar and Bitcoin surge on Trump win

Macroeconomic/ geopolitical developments Global financial market developments Key this week Central Bank Watch: There is no central bank activity of note this week, with the focus back on Fed speakers after the recent blackout period before the FOMC Meeting last week, with the standout on Thursday as Powell speaks. Macro Data Watch: The main focus … Continued

Intermediate

One big data week passes, but a huge week ahead with the US election on a knife edge

Macroeconomic/ geopolitical developments Global financial market developments Key this week Central Bank Watch: The main central bank activities this week is the Federal Reserve Interest Rate Decision and Monetary Policy Statement on Thursday. Some other activities of note are the Reverse Bank of Australia Interest Rate Decision and Monetary Policy Statement on Tuesday, Bank of … Continued

Intermediate

A BIG week coming for markets

Macroeconomic/ geopolitical developments Global financial market developments Key this week Central Bank Watch: The main central bank activity this week is the Bank of Japan Interest Rate Decision and Monetary Policy Statement on Thursday. Macro Data Watch: The main macro data release this week is the US Employment Report on Friday. Some other releases of … Continued

Intermediate

TSMC and Netflix boost Global stock averages

Macroeconomic/ geopolitical developments Global financial market developments Key this week Central Bank Watch: The main central bank activities this week are People’s Bank of China Interest Rate Decision on Monday, and the Bank of Canada Monetary Policy Statement and Interest Rate Decision on Wednesday. Macro Data Watch: The main macro data release this week is … Continued

Intermediate

Stocks push higher, despite warmer US CPI – earnings in focus

Macroeconomic/ geopolitical developments Global financial market developments Key this week Central Bank Watch: The main central bank activities this week are the European Central Bank Monetary Policy Statement and Bank of England Monetary Policy Report Hearing on Thursday. Macro Data Watch: The main macro data releases this week are the Chinese, UK and Japanese CPI, … Continued

Intermediate

US stocks edge higher, despite Middle Eastern tensions

Macroeconomic/ geopolitical developments Global financial market developments Key this week Central Bank Watch: The main central bank activity this week is the Federal Open Market Committee Minutes on Wednesday. Macro Data Watch: The main macro data release this week is the US CPI data on Thursday. Some other releases of note are the German CPI, … Continued

Intermediate

Global stocks gain on China stimulus and cooling US inflation

Macroeconomic/ geopolitical developments Global financial market developments Key this week Central Bank Watch: Central bank activity is modest this week, but with Fd speakers still in the spotlight, notably Powell on Monday. Macro Data Watch: The main macro data releases this week are the global PMI which are released Tuesday and Thursday, and of course … Continued

Intermediate

Stocks extend as Fed goes big

Macroeconomic/ geopolitical developments Global financial market developments Key this week Central Bank Watch: The main central bank activities this week are the Reserve Bank Australia Interest Rate Decision and Rate Statement on Tuesday and the same from the Swiss National Bank (SNB) on Thursday, along with the Bank of Japan Monetary Policy Meeting Minutes and … Continued

Intermediate

Fed Performs CPR on a Cadaver

The FOMC meeting and press conference for September was projected to be a dovish one. Fed Chair Powell was expected to cut rates by 50 bps. The preponderance of Wall Street lackeys were busy begging for a series of immediate and deep reductions in borrowing costs. Some in D.C., like Senator Elizabeth Warren, were obsequiously … Continued

Intermediate

Stocks surge and yields plunge ahead of Fed rate cut anticipation

Macroeconomic/ geopolitical developments Global financial market developments Key this week Central Bank Watch: The main central bank activity this week is the Federal Reserve  Interest Rate Decision and Monetary Policy Statement on Wednesday and the Bank of England Interest Rate Decision and Monetary Policy Report on Thursday. Some other activities of note are the Bank … Continued

Intermediate

Stocks and yields plunge, with hard landing fears

Macroeconomic/ geopolitical developments Global financial market developments Key this week Central Bank Watch: The main central bank activities this week is the European Central Bank Monetary Policy decision, statement and press conference on Thursday. Macro Data Watch: The main macro data release this week is the US CPI data on Wednesday. Some other releases of … Continued

Intermediate

Stocks rebound after Nvidia setback

Macroeconomic/ geopolitical developments Global financial market developments Key this week Central Bank Watch: The main Central Bank activity this week is the Bank of Canada Interest Rate Decision and Monetary Policy Statement on Wednesday. Macro Data Watch: The main macro data release this week is the US Job data on Friday. Some other releases of … Continued

Intermediate

Stocks rally and bond yields fall as Fed seen to shift more dovish; Nvidia and US PCE in focus

Macroeconomic/ geopolitical developments Global financial market developments Key this week Central Bank Watch: No significant central bank activity this week, but Fed speakers will be key as always. Macro Data Watch: The main macro data release this week is the US PCE data on Thursday and Friday, with Friday’s data key. Some other releases of … Continued

Intermediate

US and global stocks rebound further, as US inflation cools

Macroeconomic/ geopolitical developments Global financial market developments Key this week Central Bank Watch: The main focus will be on FOMC Minutes on Wednesday and Jackson Hole Symposium from Thursday. Other central bank activities this week are the People’s Bank of China Interest Rate decision on Tuesday and the  Reserve Bank of Australia Meeting Minutes also … Continued

Intermediate

US hard landing fears send stocks lower, despite Fed signalling a September rate cut

Macroeconomic/ geopolitical developments Global financial market developments Key this week Central Bank Watch: A light week for central banks, we get the Bank of Japan Monetary Policy Meeting Minutes on Monday and the Reserve Bank of Australia Interest Rate Decision and Monetary Policy Statement on Tuesday. Macro Data Watch: A quiet week for macroeconomic data, … Continued

Intermediate

Stock rotation continues ahead of a BIG week for markets

Macroeconomic/ geopolitical developments Global financial market developments Key this week Central Bank Watch: The main central bank activities this week are the Bank of Japan Interest Rate Decision and Monetary Policy Statement on Tuesday,  Federal Reserve Interest Rate Decision and Monetary Policy Statement on Wednesday and the Bank of England Interest Rate Decision, Monetary Policy … Continued

Intermediate

Stock rotation continues out of large cap/ growth into mid/small cap/ value

Macroeconomic/ geopolitical developments Global financial market developments Key this week Central Bank Watch: The main central bank activities this week are the The People’s Bank of China Interest Rate Decision on Monday and the Bank of Canada Interest Rate Decision and Monetary Policy Statement on Wednesday. Macro Data Watch: The key macro data releases this … Continued

Intermediate

Stocks up again with rotation dominant, as US CPI cools

Macroeconomic/ geopolitical developments Global financial market developments Key this week Central Bank Watch: Central bank focus will be on the ECB Interest Rate Decision and Monetary Policy Statement on Thursday. Macro Data Watch: The main macro data releases this week are inflation data from the UK, EU, Canada and Japan, Retail Sales from China, Germany … Continued

Intermediate

Asset Bubbles Beware

Global debt has soared to a record $307 trillion, rising by a staggering $100 trillion over the past decade, and now represents 340% of world GDP. This is why there is no easy escape from the upcoming recession. The salve to bring economies back after a drop in asset prices and contraction in growth has … Continued

Intermediate

US and global stock indices at record highs, as US economy cools

Macroeconomic/ geopolitical developments Global financial market developments Key this week Central Bank Watch: Fed Chair Powell testifies to Congress on Tuesday. The only other central bank activity of note is the Reserve Bank of New Zealand Interest Rate Decision and Monetary Policy Statement on Wednesday. Macro Data Watch: The main macro data release this week … Continued

Intermediate

SNB cuts rates, BoE holds, US stock averages eke out weekly gains, despite Nvidia setback

Macroeconomic/ geopolitical developments Global financial market developments Key this week Central Bank Watch: Central bank activity is light this week with the focus on Fed speakers. Macro Data Watch: The main macro data releases this week are the global CPI data throughout the week. But the main focal points for the week will be the … Continued

Intermediate

US indices rally to records again but European averages suffer from political woes

Macroeconomic/ geopolitical developments Global financial market developments Key this week Central Bank Watch: Central bank focus will be on the RBA Interest Rate Decision on Tuesday, BoJ Monetary Policy Meeting Minutes Wednesday and PBoC and SNB Interest Rate Decisions on Thursday. But the main spotlight is on the BoE Interest Rate Decision and Monetary Policy … Continued

Intermediate

US stocks averages hit record levels, ECB and BoC cut, US CPI and Fed now in focus

Macroeconomic/ geopolitical developments Global financial market developments Key this week Central Bank Watch: The main central bank activities this week is the FOMC Interest Rate Decision and Policy Statement on Wednesday. One other release of note is the Bank of Japan Interest Rate Decision and Policy Statement on Friday. Macro Data Watch: The main macro … Continued

Intermediate

Stocks dip with “higher for longer fears”, with PMI and US jobs data now in focus

Macroeconomic/ geopolitical developments Global financial market developments Key this week Central Bank Watch: The main central bank activities this week are the Bank of Canada Interest Rate Decision and Policy Statement on Wednesday and the EU Monetary Policy Statement on Thursday. Macro Data Watch: The main macro data released this upcoming week are the global … Continued

Intermediate

Economy Slowing Slipping into Recession, But Not There Yet

The recent spate of economic data continues to point to a weakening economy, but one that is not yet precipitously falling into recession. The Philly Fed Index was released late last week. The diffusion index for current general activity declined 11 points to 4.5 in May. The index for new orders declined from 12.2 to … Continued

Intermediate

Nvidia Surges, but Fed Minutes Signal Hawkish Bias

Macroeconomic/ geopolitical developments Global financial market developments Key this week Central Bank Watch: Central bank activity is light this week but watching Fed speakers in the last week before the FOMC External Communications Blackout Period from 1st June. Macro Data Watch: The main macro data releases this week are the German CPI data on Wednesday, … Continued

Intermediate

US and global stick averages hit record levels after dolling US CPI

Macroeconomic/ geopolitical developments Global financial market developments Key this week Central Bank Watch: Central bank focus will be on the PBoC interest rate decision Monday, the RBA Meeting Minutes Tuesday and the RBNZ interest rate decision Tuesday. But the main spotlight will be on the FOMC Meeting Minutes Wednesday, as well as Fed speakers through … Continued

Intermediate

Global stock averages retreat with higher oil price and Fed rate cut worries

Macroeconomic/ geopolitical developments Global financial market developments Key this week Central Bank Watch: The most important central bank activities this week are the FOMC Minutes on Wednesday ECB Monetary Policy Decision and Statement on Thursday. We will also observe the RBNZ and BoC Interest Rate Decisions and Statements Wednesday. Macro Data Watch: Global CPI data … Continued

Intermediate

Stocks Stay Strong Ahead of PMI and US NFP Reports

Macroeconomic/ geopolitical developments Global financial market developments Key this week Central Bank Watch: No Central Bank activity of note, but we are watching for further indications for the path of future US interest rates from FOMC speakers. Macro Data Watch: Global PMI data is released through the week, with the US ISM PMI data of … Continued

Intermediate

Global Stocks Stay in Bull Mode as Global Central Banks Gear Up for Rate Cuts

Macroeconomic/ geopolitical developments Global financial market developments Key this week Central Bank Watch: No Central Bank activity of note, but we do get the Bank of Japan Monetary Policy meeting minutes on Monday. This should give further insight after last week’s interest rate hike. Plus, after last week’s Fed meeting we are watching for further … Continued

Intermediate

Warmer US Inflation Data Puts Focus on the Fed’s Dot Plot Chart This Week

Macroeconomic/ geopolitical developments Global financial market developments Key this week Central Bank Watch: A busy week for Central Banks highlighted by interest rate decisions from the BoJ and RBA Tuesday, the PBoC and FOMC Wednesday and the BoE Thursday. Macro Data Watch: Lots of data to be released this week with the focus being global … Continued

Intermediate

US Industrial Production and Michigan Consumer Sentiment Expectations – 15th March

What to expect from US Industrial Production data Scheduled for release at 14:15 GMT on Friday, March 15, the US Industrial Production data for February is highly anticipated by economists, policymakers, and investors. This report provides crucial insights into the performance and trends within the manufacturing, mining, and utility sectors, offering valuable indications of economic … Continued

Intermediate

US PPI and Retail Sales Preview – 14th March

What to expect from US PPI data The upcoming US Producer Price Index (PPI) report, scheduled for release on Thursday, March 14th at 13:30 GMT, is poised to offer critical insights into inflationary pressures within the economy, particularly at the producer level. Analysts’ consensus estimates for February’s PPI report indicate expectations for modest inflationary growth. … Continued

Intermediate

US CPI Report Preview – 12th March

What to Expect from the US CPI Report Scheduled for release on March 12th, 2024, at 12:30 GMT, the US Consumer Price Index (CPI) report for February is poised to attract significant attention from economists, policymakers, and investors alike. This report offers crucial insights into inflationary trends, guiding monetary policy decisions and shaping market expectations. … Continued

Intermediate

US Stock Averages Hit New Records, After Mixed Messages From Powell; US CPI In Focus This Week

Macroeconomic/ geopolitical developments Global financial market developments Key this week Central Bank Watch: Nothing of note from central banks this week, but as ever Fed speakers must be watched. Macro Data Watch: The standout data for the week will be US CPI on Tuesday, plus we also get the UK Employment report and German CPI … Continued

Intermediate

US Employment Report Preview – 8th March

What to Expect from the US Employment Report As anticipation builds for the release of the US Employment Report, economists and market analysts are closely scrutinising various indicators to gauge the health of the labour market and broader economy. Here’s what to expect from the upcoming report based on recent data and expert forecasts. Economists … Continued

Intermediate

UK Spring Budget 2024 Recap

The UK Spring Budget is a pivotal event in the nation’s fiscal calendar, where the Chancellor of the Exchequer outlines the government’s taxation and spending plans for the upcoming financial year. This annual presentation typically occurs in March and serves as a platform for the Chancellor to address Parliament and the public, detailing key economic … Continued

Intermediate

Fed’s Powell to Testify Before Congress

Current Climate: US Economy and Fed Speakers Outlook Federal Reserve officials have recently conveyed a cautious stance regarding the possibility of swift interest rate cuts, reflecting their assessment of the current state of the US economy. Governor Michelle Bowman, among others, emphasised the importance of maintaining the policy rate steady, citing potential risks to inflation … Continued

Intermediate

UK Budget Report Preview – 6th March

What to Expect from the UK Budget Report The UK Budget Report, scheduled for presentation by Treasury Chancellor Jeremy Hunt on Wednesday, 6th March at 12:30 GMT, is poised to address critical fiscal and economic matters impacting the nation. Traditionally, the Budget serves as a roadmap for the government’s financial plans for the upcoming fiscal … Continued

Intermediate

Nasdaq Hits Record High; Powell and US Employment in the Spotlight

Macroeconomic/ geopolitical developments Global financial market developments Key this week Central Bank Watch: A notable week for central banks, as we see the Bank of Canada (BoC) interest rate decision Wednesday, followed by the European Central Bank (ECB) Interest Rate decision, Statement: and Conference Thursday. Plus, an important focus will be as Fed Chair Jerome … Continued

Intermediate

Global Manufacturing PMI Preview – 1st March

What to Expect from US PMI data The upcoming release of US PMI data is highly anticipated by analysts and investors, providing crucial insights into the performance of the manufacturing sector. S&P Global is set to release its Manufacturing PMI for February at 2:45 GMT, with expectations hovering around 51.5, matching the flash estimate reported … Continued

Intermediate

US PCE Preview – 29th February

What to Expect from the US PCE Data The upcoming US Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) data release, scheduled for 13:30 GMT on Thursday, February 29th, is expected to provide insights into the trajectory of inflation in the United States. Economists anticipate that the report will confirm January’s setback in the battle against rapid cost-of-living increases. … Continued

Intermediate

US GDP and EU Consumer Confidence Preview – 28th February

What to expect from the US GDP data The upcoming first revision of Q4 US GDP data, scheduled for Wednesday, February 28th at 13:30 GMT, is highly anticipated as it provides a comprehensive assessment of the nation’s economic performance during the fourth quarter. This data, released by the US Bureau of Economic Analysis, offers insights … Continued

Intermediate

US Durable Goods and Consumer Confidence Preview – 27th February

What to expect from the US Durable Goods data Investors and economists eagerly await the release of the US Durable Goods data, scheduled for 13:30 GMT on Tuesday, February 27th. The report by the US Census Bureau provides crucial insights into the health of the manufacturing sector and broader economic activity in the United States.  … Continued

Intermediate

US and global stock averages hitting record levels, with Nvidia surging again

Macroeconomic/ geopolitical developments Global financial market developments Key this week Central Bank Watch: A very quiet week for central banks, but we do see the Reserve Bank of New Zealand interest rate decision Wednesday. Macro Data Watch: The focus this week will be on German Gfk Consumer Confidence, Retail Sales, Unemployment and CPI, US Durable … Continued

Intermediate

Global Manufacturing, Services and Flash PMI Preview – 22nd February

What to Expect from the US S&P Global PMI Releases As the U.S. S&P Global PMI releases approach, scheduled for 14:45 GMT on Thursday, February 22nd, 2024, analysts are anticipating crucial insights into the country’s economic performance. Consensus forecasts suggest a slight moderation in the S&P Global Services PMI for February, with expectations set at … Continued

Intermediate

Nvidia Earnings Preview – 21st February 2024

What to expect from Nvidia’s Earnings Nvidia’s forthcoming Q4 2023 earnings call, scheduled for Wednesday, February 21st, 2024, is anticipated to be a pivotal event not only for the company itself but also for the broader technology landscape, particularly in the realm of artificial intelligence (AI). As the third most valuable company on Wall Street, … Continued

Beginner

Walmart and Home Depot Earnings Preview – 20th February 2024

Why are Walmart’s Earnings so Important? Walmart, the world’s largest retailer by revenue, is a multinational retail corporation headquartered in Bentonville, Arkansas, USA. Founded in 1962 by Sam Walton, Walmart operates a chain of hypermarkets, discount department stores, and grocery stores across the globe. With a presence in 27 countries and e-commerce operations in 10 … Continued

Intermediate

Stocks rebound after sell off in the wake of warmer than expected US CPI data

Macroeconomic/ geopolitical developments Global financial market developments Key this week Holidays: As Asian markets return from the Lunar New Year holidays last week, the US President’s Day holiday is on Monday 19th February. Central Bank Watch: A relatively quiet week for central banks, but we do see the PBoC Interest Rate Decision Tuesday. Macro Data … Continued

Intermediate

NatWest 2023 Q4 Earnings Preview – 16th February 2024

What to Expect from NatWest’s Earnings Investors eagerly anticipate NatWest’s 2023 Q4 earnings call, scheduled for release on Friday, February 16th, 2024. With a market cap of £17.851B, the bank faces high expectations following its recent challenges and amidst significant market competition. In light of the forecasted Q4 EPS of £0.07 and revenue forecast of … Continued

Beginner

US and UK Retail Sales Previews – 15th and 16th February 2024

As investors gear up for the upcoming Retail Sales data releases in the United States and the United Kingdom on February 15th and 16th, respectively, anticipation is high for insights into consumer spending trends. These releases serve as vital economic indicators, offering a glimpse into the pulse of consumer activity and broader economic conditions. What … Continued

Intermediate

February 13th 2024 US CPI Release Preview

US CPI Expectations As anticipation builds for the upcoming release of the US Consumer Price Index (CPI) on February 13th, market participants are bracing for critical insights into the state of inflation. This data arrives amidst a backdrop of heightened attention following a robust January jobs report and the Federal Reserve‘s cautious stance on inflation. … Continued

Intermediate

Risk On! S&P 500 break 5000, US CPI in the spotlight this coming week

Macroeconomic/ geopolitical developments Global financial market developments Key this week Other Events: Chinese New Year is this week, so mainland Chinese markets and other Asian markets will be closed, so Asian sessions could be particularly quiet. Central Bank Watch: A quiet week for central banks, Fed speakers always in focus. Macro Data Watch: A busy … Continued

Intermediate

UK Earnings Preview – Thursday 8th February

Why are AstraZeneca’s Earnings so Important? AstraZeneca is a leading global biopharmaceutical company renowned for its innovative medicines in areas such as oncology, cardiovascular, respiratory, and immunology. As one of the largest pharmaceutical companies worldwide, AstraZeneca’s earnings releases are highly anticipated and closely monitored by investors, analysts, and healthcare professionals.  These releases provide critical insights … Continued

Intermediate

UK Earnings Recap – Vodafone and BP

Why are Vodafone’s Earnings so Important? Vodafone Group Plc, commonly known as Vodafone, is a global telecommunications company headquartered in London, United Kingdom. With operations spanning across Europe, Africa, Asia, and Oceania, Vodafone is one of the world’s largest telecommunications providers, offering mobile and fixed-line services, broadband, and digital television.  The company’s earnings releases hold … Continued

Intermediate

Weekly US Earnings Outlook from February 6th 2024

The US 2023 fourth-quarter earnings season is in full swing, with 230 S&P 500 companies already reporting. Impressively, 80% of these companies have exceeded Wall Street’s expectations, as reported by LSEG. Last week was extremely busy, seeing the likes of Microsoft and Alphabet earnings Tuesday and Amazon, Apple and Meta reporting Thursday. This week will … Continued

Intermediate

Record Highs Again for US Stock Averages, Despite Fading March Rates Cut Hopes

Macroeconomic/ geopolitical developments Global financial market developments Key this week Central Bank Watch: A quiet week for central banks, with the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) Tuesday, plus as always, a focus on Fed speakers. Macro Data Watch: Also, a quiet week for data. The focus for the week will be Monday’s Services and Composite … Continued