Macroeconomic/ geopolitical developments
- Federal Reserve hikes 75bp again but signals possible slowdown of pace of hikes.
- But Chairman Powell makes hawkish comments regarding a higher than expected rate peak.
- US Employment report shows more jobs added that anticipated, though the Unemployment rate was higher than consensus.
- Conflicting rumours abounded regarding the possibility of China moving away from its zero-COVID policy.
- The Eurozone YOY inflation rate accelerated by more than expected to 10.7% in October.
- The Bank of England (BoE) increased interest rate by 0.75%, the biggest hike for over 30 years, up to 3%, the highest since 2008
Global financial market developments
- The major US stock averages setback last week after the more hawkish Fed tone.
- European equity indices were lower too.
- The Chinese stock market whipsawed with the conflicting rumours regarding a shift away from a zero-COVID policy.
- US 10yr yields were higher again, back close to its recent high!
- US Dollar was erratic, as DXY rallied then setback.
- Gold plunged and surged to ease negative pressures.
- Oil prices rallied close to a multi week high.
- Copper surged to the top end of the wide consolidation range.
Key this week
- Geopolitical Events: The US midterm elections are on Tuesday. Friday 11th November is US Veterans Day, Bond markets are closed
- Central Bank Watch: No Central Bank activity of note.
- Macroeconomic data: A quiet week overall, but Thursday’s US CPI release is huge!.
Date | Key Macroeconomic Events |
07/11/22 | China trade data |
08/11/22 | US midterm elections; EU Retail Sales |
09/11/22 | China CPI |
10/11/22 | US CPI |
11/11/22 | UK GDP; German CPI; US Veterans Day, Bond markets closed |